The 4th quarter of 2023 Los Angeles - Long Industrial Real Estate Market Report.
1. Vacancy Rate Increase in South Bay Industrial Market:
- The South Bay Industrial market has experienced a year-over-year increase of 250 basis points in vacancy rates, reaching 3.9%.
- This uptick suggests a change in the demand and supply dynamics within the industrial sector of the South Bay.
2. Sublease Transactions in Industrial Leasing:
- Out of the 87 industrial lease transactions in the 4th quarter, 17.2% were sublease transactions.
- The prevalence of subleases in the industrial sector underscores a strategic approach by tenants, potentially driven by the need to optimize existing space or adjust to evolving operational requirements.
3. Tenant Responses to Scarcity in Industrial Spaces:
- Faced with continued scarcity, many industrial tenants in the South Bay have chosen to renew existing leases or implement efficiency measures within their current space.
- This strategic response has contributed to a cooling effect on the market, leading to a 3.2% year-over-year decrease in industrial lease rates.
4. Larger Decline in Industrial Lease Rates for Direct Spaces:
- The industrial lease rates for direct spaces have seen a larger quarter-over-quarter decline of 11.25%.
- This pronounced decrease indicates heightened competition and negotiation dynamics in the industrial leasing market, likely influenced by increased vacancy rates and tenant strategies.
5. Landlord Concessions in Industrial Leasing:
- The decline in industrial lease rates and the competitive landscape have prompted landlords to make some concessions to facilitate deals.
- Concessions may include adjustments in terms, incentives, or other favorable arrangements to attract and retain industrial tenants.
6. Industrial Sales Transactions:
- Industrial sales transactions have experienced a decline in the average number, dropping from a quarterly average of 20 to 13.
- Additionally, both the average and median industrial asking sales prices have decreased quarter over quarter, reflecting a softening in the industrial sales market.
7. South Bay Industrial Market Positioning:
- Despite the observed trends, the South Bay Industrial market remains 4.4% below the 20-year national average industrial vacancy rate.
- The areas surrounding the port continue to be more optimal for most Industrial operations, indicating a sustained high demand in the foreseeable future.
8. Additional Reports for Midcounties, Central (Los Angeles), and Inland Empire Industrial Markets:
- The report includes insights into the other industrial markets of Midcounties, Central (Los Angeles), and Inland Empire, providing a comprehensive view of the broader industrial landscape in the region.
In summary, the South Bay Industrial market is navigating through changes with increased vacancy rates, strategic tenant responses, and shifts in leasing and sales dynamics. Despite these trends, the market remains below the national average industrial vacancy rate, with certain areas, particularly around the port, expected to continue experiencing high demand. The inclusion of reports for other industrial markets enhances the overall understanding of the industrial real estate landscape in the region. If you have specific questions or would like to explore particular aspects further, feel free to let me know!