Blog #q3 2024

In Q3 2024, the South Bay submarket saw a continued increase in vacant space, with the vacancy rate rising to 4.4%, up 20 basis points from Q2 and 50 basis points year-over-year. Tenants are becoming more selective, taking advantage of longer decision-making periods. Despite a 7.8% year-over-year decline in average asking rents, rents remained somewhat resilient due to concessions from landlords.

Leasing activity included 1.37 million square feet of new deals, though it was below the 10-year average. Net absorption was positive for the first time in a year, at +669,007 square feet. Construction continues with 1.5 million square feet in progress, which could impact vacancy rates if demand doesn't catch up.

Sales activity increased from Q2 but remained significantly lower than in 2023. Sales volume reached $71.9 million, and average prices per square foot dropped 22.5% year-over-year to $258.92.

The industrial real estate landscape in Orange County has experienced a notable shift in the fourth quarter of 2023, marked by a noticeable impact on rental dynamics. The moderation in tenant demand has contributed to a increase in vacancy rates during this period thereby leading to a deceleration in rent growth. This shift in market dynamics has implications for both property owners and tenants, shaping the overall economic landscape of the region. 

One of the noteworthy industrial real estate transactions during Q4 of 2023 was the acquisition of 7050 Village Drive in Buena Park, CA, by Buchanan Street Partners. This move underscores the strategic investment decisions being made in response to the evolving market conditions. Additionally, Home & Body Co.'s leasing of 5800 Skylab Road in Huntington Beach, CA, reflects ongoing activity with industrial real estate warehouse buildings, albeit with a focus on leasing arrangements. 

Analyzing specific areas with Orange County warehouse and industrial properties, the sales prices have exhibited distinct trends. Huntington Beach, for instance, has seen an average price of $380.00 per square foot (PSF) over the past year. This figure provides valuable insights into the relative strength of the market in this particular locale. In comparison, Garden Grove has experienced a slightly lower average sale price at $320.00 PSF, indicating variations in the pricing dynamics across different parts of the county. 

Furthermore, lease rates with Orange County industrial properties averaged $1.58 per square foot during the fourth quarter of 2023. This figure serves as a benchmark for property owners and tenants alike, offering a glimpse into the prevailing economic conditions shaping leasing negotiations. The asking lease rates provide crucial information for businesses seeking commercial spaces, influencing decisions on location and affordability. 

In summary, the industrial real estate landscape in the Orange County market is adapting to changing demand patterns, with notable transactions and pricing trends providing valuable insights for industry stakeholders. As the market navigates through these shifts, strategic decision-making and a nuanced understanding of local dynamics will continue to be key elements for success in the region's real estate sector.