Ron Mgrublian
01 Jun
01Jun

In 2026, America's busiest port complex — the Ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach — faces a paradox: too many trucks and not enough freight. Long-standing family-owned trucking companies that built their businesses serving these ports for decades are closing their doors.What’s driving this crisis? A toxic mix of compressed freight rates, record diesel prices, over-regulation, and market distortions that punish compliant operators while rewarding those who cut corners.

In a recent must-watch interview, Robert Loya, CEO of the Harbor Trucking Association and a 30-year industry veteran, breaks down the harsh realities facing California drayage trucking.

The Perfect Storm Hitting California Trucking

The symptoms are clear:

  • Chronic overcapacity — More trucks chasing fewer loads
  • Crushed freight rates — Making it nearly impossible to cover costs
  • Exploding operating expenses — Especially diesel fuel
  • Heavy regulatory burden — Including the Clean Trucks Initiative and Advanced Clean Fleets (ACF) Rule

Many family operators who invested heavily to comply with earlier rules now find themselves at a severe competitive disadvantage.

What Robert Loya Reveals About California’s Regulatory Environment

Robert Loya doesn’t mince words. As both a former trucker and current leader of the Harbor Trucking Association, he offers a ground-level perspective on how policy decisions are playing out in the real world.Key points from the interview:

  • Clean Trucks Initiative & ACF Rule Impact: California pushed aggressively toward zero-emission vehicles (battery electric and hydrogen). However, the technology, infrastructure, and economics weren’t ready for long-haul drayage runs to the Inland Empire, Central Valley, Las Vegas, and Arizona.
  • Compliance Penalty: Companies that tried to follow the rules faced massive new truck payments, higher insurance, and operational limitations. Meanwhile, competitors who waited out the uncertainty gained an advantage when parts of the ACF Rule faced legal challenges and waiver issues.
  • Transitional Technologies: Loya discusses biodiesel and cleaner diesel as realistic bridge solutions that were largely sidelined by an “all-or-nothing” regulatory approach.
  • AB 5 and Labor Rules: Additional layers of California-specific regulations compounded the pressure on independent operators.

The result? Accelerated industry consolidation where larger players absorb market share while small and mid-sized family businesses exit.

Why This Matters Beyond Trucking

The Ports of LA and Long Beach handle a massive portion of U.S. imports and exports. Disruptions here don’t stay local — they ripple through national supply chains, raising costs for consumers and businesses everywhere.When compliant operators are forced out, it creates:

  • Reduced service reliability
  • Higher long-term logistics costs
  • Job losses in communities dependent on port-related employment
  • Questions about whether current environmental policies deliver genuine progress or just shift burdens

For industrial property owners evaluating how these shifts affect their assets, an industrial property valuation can help clarify where you stand in today's market.

Key Takeaways for Logistics Professionals and California Businesses

  1. Market Reality Check: Overcapacity remains a dominant issue. Rate recovery depends on broader economic improvement and cargo volume returning to pre-downturn levels.
  2. Regulatory Uncertainty: Even with recent pauses or changes to ACF provisions, new iterations are likely coming. Planning and education around zero-emission transitions remain critical.
  3. Competitive Advantage: Operators who balance compliance with financial sustainability will be best positioned for the next cycle.
  4. Call for Balanced Policy: Good intentions for cleaner air must be paired with practical timelines, viable technology, and infrastructure development.

The Road Ahead for California Drayage Trucking

Robert Loya remains optimistic about collaboration between industry and regulators but stresses the need for realistic transition pathways.As California continues its environmental leadership, the question remains: Can the state achieve its clean air goals without devastating the small businesses that form the backbone of its port operations?

Watch the full interview with Robert Loya here:

Too Many Trucks, Not Enough Freight | Robert Loya Interview

How is the port trucking crisis affecting industrial real estate in Southern California?

Trucking capacity and reliability directly affect how efficiently goods move out of Southern California's warehouses and distribution centers. As drayage carriers consolidate or exit the market, industrial property owners and tenants near the Ports of LA and Long Beach should factor logistics volatility into leasing, expansion, and site-selection decisions.

What is the Advanced Clean Fleets (ACF) Rule?

The ACF Rule is a California regulation requiring drayage fleets serving the ports to transition toward zero-emission vehicles. Legal challenges and waiver issues have created uncertainty around enforcement timelines, which has added cost and planning pressure for trucking companies.

Should industrial property owners near the ports be concerned about this trend?

It's worth monitoring. Reduced trucking capacity or reliability can affect tenant demand and operations for distribution-heavy users. Owners and investors evaluating port-adjacent industrial property should factor logistics conditions into their underwriting alongside traditional market fundamentals.

Where can I learn more about how supply chain trends affect industrial property values?

Reach out directly — I track how logistics and regulatory shifts affect industrial real estate across the LA and Long Beach submarkets and can walk through what it means for your specific property or investment goals.

Ron Mgrublian

Principal, Lee & Associates Los Angeles - Long Beach

D: 562-354-2537

E: rmgrublian@leelalb.com

5000 E Spring St, Suite 600, Long Beach, CA 90815

CalDRE #01902882

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